[tt] Next Big Future - 2 new articles
Eugen Leitl
<eugen at leitl.org> on
Fri Jan 30 08:27:53 CET 2009
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Subject: Next Big Future - 2 new articles
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"[2]Next Big Future" - 2 new articles
1. [3]IPhone "Intelligence" Enhancement and An Idea for Advanced
Exoskeleton Training and Instant Skills
2. [4]Understanding Capacity Factor Improvement at Nuclear Power
Plants
3. [5]More Recent Articles
4. [6]Search Next Big Future
[7]IPhone "Intelligence" Enhancement and An Idea for Advanced Exoskeleton
Training and Instant Skills
[8]There is a new $1 iPhone application called CubeCheater which helps
you solve the classic Rubik's Cube puzzle toy using a mix of
sophisticated algorithms and simple image-recognition technology.
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[14]Ads delivered by FeedBlitz
You take six pictures of your mixed up Rubik's Cube using the
iPhone's camera -- one photo per side. If you have an iPod Touch,
you can also tap in the color combos manually. CubeCheater is able
to recognize the placement of each colored square and generate a
map of your cube. It then figures out the quickest path to solving
the puzzle and gives you a set of easy-to-follow, step-by-step
instructions.
The current guru of Rubik's computer algorithms is Herbet Kociemba,
creator of the open source Cube Explorer software program.
Kociemba's solver software is currently used by computer science
students at universities to build cube-solving robots, some of
which also use a camera and image-recognition tech to figure out
the color patterns.
Rubik cube solution algorithms and instructions have been around
almost as long as the cube. The algorithms have been improved over
time. The breakthrough is using image recognition and a device and
interfaces to make it far easier for people to use. The "human
enhancement" is made more widely available and accessible and easy to
implement.
[15]There is also an ipod application for snipers. It is like a sniper
caddy. It gives adjustments for wind and other conditions based on
distance and direction to the target. This is the role of the sniper
spotter when there are pairs of snipers.
Breakthroughs in training physical techniques such as martial arts
(like in the Matrix - Neo: "I know kungfu"), dance, gymnastics,
swimming etc... could come because of advanced exoskeleton, robotics
and prosthetics. An exoskeleton that can guide a persons movements
fairly precisely and provide some resistance could be used to
accelerate developing proper form and muscle memory of the technique.
There is already motion capture training of robots to record and
repeat tasks. Motion capture could be used and then loaded into
robotic exoskeletons to provide human training assistance. A person
could be moved like a puppet (go along for the ride) in performing the
task.
Prosthetics are getting more advanced and connecting to the nerves and
muscles of people.
IFRAME:
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The Global Positioning system and GPS navigation have a system which
knows where most things are and is able to provide easy to follow
driving directions. There is a lot of knowledge and skills that are
being collected in information systems now. The sharing of skills and
know how could be unlocked with better interfaces, exoskeletons and
robotics.
Good exoskeletons may not just provide strength enhancement but
dexterous exoskeletons can provide instant skills. The wearer would be
able to cheat to know how to fly a helicopter or any other physical
skill.
The Matrix like instant skills would not need to be downloaded into
your brain. They could be loaded or stored in the exoskeleton computer
which would be wearing and which guide and direct you and lead you
precisely by directing your motion and muscles as much as is needed.
There will also be visualization training. This visualization speed up
to training is already being developed by DARPA. This is using
something like a holodeck to provide a faster training environment.
[17]Wearable workstations with glasses that are your computer screen
are already being integrated and tested this year.
[18]Exoskeletons are also advancing rapidly.
All the collected skills and knowledge would be accessible for any
individual to instantly have near mastery. Plus they would be able to
far more rapidly learn and be able to incorporate a skill that wanted
to be able to repeat and integrate directly into their own repertoire.
[19][advancednano?i=vnq1ug]
[20][advancednano?i=opnIh6.P] [21][advancednano?i=8rXUb4.P]
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[28][advancednano?i=Xfvu11.P] [29][advancednano?i=sCNoMY.p]
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[35]Understanding Capacity Factor Improvement at Nuclear Power Plants
Over the past two decades, nuclear power plants have achieved
increasingly higher capacity factors with the same or greater levels
of safety. The average capacity factor for U.S. plants in operation in
1980 was 56.3 percent; in 1990, 66 percent; and in 2007, 91.8 percent.
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[42]A 1994 analysis as the capacity factors were being improved
provides some insight.
Costs went up in the 1980's because regulations doubled staffing.
Management improved, best practices were shared and technology
improvements were made to reduce outages.
-demineralized resins to increase heat exchanger life
-erosion/corrision control and monitoring
-improved steam generator chemistry to prolong steam generator life
-improved motor operated valves
Capacity Factors in 2001
[43]Production costs are driven to a large degree by capacity factors.
The following observations can be made:
* Countries already at the top of the capacity factor league table -
Finland, Germany, Belgium and Spain - are holding steady at around 90%
or above.
* US capacity factors are now pushing up towards the best of the
European fleet.
* The US capacity factor improvement in the 1990s has added the
equivalent of 23 1000 MWe plants to the grid.
* Russian and Ukrainian reactors have made noteworthy output
improvements.
French capacity factors continue to be lower than technical and
operational standards would indicate, due to the surplus nuclear
capacity in France and the limitations on exporting the surplus to
neighbouring countries.
[44]Ukraine had capacity factor improvement program with the US. Learn
international best practices and procedures.
IFRAME:
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So higher capacity factor reasons- better components and the whole
industry learning and sharing the best way to run things. So unless
your reactor design limits what you can do then getting to 85% is
definitely doable and that is why 90% is the average.
There was learning but the whole industry learned. Plus there was the
spread of quality management programs throughout business.
There was also component improvement as noted. Just as there has been
improvement in the quality and life of components in cars and TVs
since the 70s and 80s.
The [46]history of car warranties
1967 2 years and 24000 miles
1970 reduced back to 1 year and 12000 miles
1981 2 years and 24000 miles, chrysler 5 years and 50,000 miles
1987 3 years/unlimited miles to 6 year/60,000 miles
2003 up to 10 year/100000 miles avg 4.7 years 55,000 miles
A modern/new nuclear plant does not have to relearn the wheel and all
of its people and management are not starting with a blank slate and
1975 tech and practices.
[47][advancednano?i=prXV67]
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[56][advancednano?i=SnG0pM.P] [57][advancednano?i=aEGdqD.p]
[526076617]
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Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
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