[tt] Next Big Future - 10 new articles
Eugen Leitl
<eugen at leitl.org> on
Tue Sep 30 12:24:14 CEST 2008
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Subject: Next Big Future - 10 new articles
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Here are the latest updates for eugen at leitl.org
"[2]Next Big Future" - 10 new articles
1. [3]Speculative Technological Convergence - Nuclear power for Ten
Thousand Exoskeletons
2. [4]Carbon Nanotube Sheets produced at seven meters per minute
3. [5]Ultrabattery Should be Commercially Sold by 2011
4. [6]Multi-part self assembling stomach robot and nanotubes for
better neural implants
5. [7]Is the current US / World situation more like Mexico's crisis
of 1994-1998 ?
6. [8]$200 Device Boosts Diesel Fuel Efficiency by 19% and Reduces
Particulate Pollution by 10 times
7. [9]Nanotechnology roundup: Graphene production and Copying
Electric eel cells for implantable batteries
8. [10]Stem cell Advance roundup : restroring hearing, fixing spinal
cords, fixing hearts and more
9. [11]Spacex fourth launch successfully reaches orbit
10. [12]MIT solves 100 year Fluid Dynamics Problem
11. [13]More Recent Articles
12. [14]Search Next Big Future
[15]Speculative Technological Convergence - Nuclear power for Ten Thousand
Exoskeletons
[16]Previously this site speculated on near term technology that would
enable a powerful version of the science fiction Bolo supertank.
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Now the converged projection is that technology will soon enable
effective exoskeletons with compact electric engines, mass-produced
portable nuclear reactors, UAVs with electric engines, higher
electrical density and longer lasting ultracapacitor/battery
combinations.
[23]Hyperion Power Generation plans to sell and build the four
thousand 27-30MWe reactors over the first ten year period or less.
[2013-2022] Each reactor should weight 15-20 tons and cost about $25
million.
[24]The highest power to weight ratio electric engines could be used
to power the Sarcos exoskeleton.
The person wearing the exoskeleton can carry 100-200kg without tiring
so having 60kg of weight for an electric engine, ultracapacitors and
batteries would work to power the exoskeleton. The Pipestrel motorized
glider has [25]46kg of lithium batteries that store 6kwh of power. The
AK30K016 electric motor, which weighs 14 kg, generates 30kw (40HP),
1800 RPM, 200Nm at 95% efficiency. The Hyperion Power Generation
reactor could use 15-20% of its power to supply the power for ten
thousand exoskeletons. A fleet of [26]robotically flown electric UAVs
could deliver charged power-packs of batteries/ultracapacitors to the
exoskeletons.
[27]Long lasting ultrabatteries should be commercially available in
2011
The fleet of UAVs can also provide air support and airspace control
for the exoskeleton troops.
IFRAME:
[28]http://ad.bannerconnect.net/st?ad_type=iframe&ad_size=336x280,300x
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Beamed power and wireless energy transfer alternative to UAV supply
chain
[29]Wireless energy transfer has been demonstrated by Intel at 75%
efficiency over short distances.
[30]A recent experiment beamed power over 92 miles.
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[46]Rate 'Speculative Technological Convergence - Nuclear power for
Ten Thousand Exoskeletons'
[47]Carbon Nanotube Sheets produced at seven meters per minute
As reported in the [48]journal Science: UTD/CSIRO team recently
demonstrated that synthetically made carbon nanotubes can be
commercially manufactured into transparent sheets that are stronger
than steel sheets of the same weight.
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[55]Starting from chemically grown, self-assembled structures in
which nanotubes are aligned like trees in a forest, the sheets are
produced at up to seven meters per minute. Unlike previous sheet
fabrication methods - using dispersions of nanotubes in liquids -
this dry-state process produces materials made from the ultra-long
nanotubes required to optimise their unique set of properties.
IFRAME:
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FURTHER READING
[57]A team of nanotechnologists at The University of Texas at Dallas,
along with Brazilian collaborators, have discovered that sheets of
carbon nanotubes can produce bizarre mechanical properties when
stretched or uniformly compressed. These unexpected but highly useful
properties could be used for such applications as making composites,
artificial muscles, gaskets or sensors.
[58]Ray H. Baughman website
[59]Universityt of Texas at Dallas NanoTech Institute
[60]CSIRO, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research
Organisation, is Australia's national science agency and one of the
largest and most diverse research agencies in the world.
[61]CSIRO has dry spun carbon nanotubes
Four scanning electron microscope images of the spinning of carbon
nanotube fibres.
* image one is a scanning electron microscope (SEM) image of a
spinning triangle in which CNT fibres can be seen drawing off the
forest
* image two (clockwise rotation) shows a close-up of the CNTs being
drawn from the forest and highlights the alignment of the fibres
* image three shows the twist insertion point
* image four shows a section of the yarn which is comprised of over
100 000 nanotubes.
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[78]Ultrabattery Should be Commercially Sold by 2011
[79]Japan's Furukawa Battery Company signed an international
commercialization and distribution agreement for the technology.
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The Australian UltraBattery has a life cycle that is at least four
times longer and produces 50 per cent more power than conventional
energy storage systems. The technology is approximately 70 per cent
cheaper than the batteries currently used in hybrid electric
vehicles (HEVs).
[2202139102_91742e6c3e.jpg?v=0]
UltraBattery hybrid car that has lasted over 100,000 miles.
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The car driving around the test track
IFRAME:
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The technology is scheduled to be commercially available in the
automotive market and for motive power applications throughout Japan,
Thailand, North America, Mexico and Canada within two years.
UltraBattery technology also has applications for renewable energy
storage from wind and solar. CSIRO is part of a technology start-up
that will develop and commercialise battery-based storage solutions
for these energy sources.
FURTHER READING
[87]Past coverage of the Ultrabattery.
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[104]Multi-part self assembling stomach robot and nanotubes for better
neural implants
By using magnetic links between capsules, researchers hope to build a
snake-like robot that can self-assemble inside a patient's stomach.
Credit: ETH Zurich
There were two advances that accelerate the integration of humans with
electronic and robotic devices:
[105]1. Modules that self-assemble inside the stomach could perform
more-sophisticated diagnosis and treatment.
A collaboration of researchers from Italy, France, Switzerland, and
Spain, called ARES, is testing a way for multiple capsules to
automatically snap together. Each would be swallowed individually
before assembling into a more complex device once safely in the
stomach.
The ultimate goal is for each capsule to perform a different task:
one for imaging, one for power, one to take samples, and so on.
Once inside the stomach, the capsules would link together, creating
a snake-like device that could slide through the intestines,
performing more-complex tasks than those performed by a single
capsule or several free-floating ones.
"Instead of having a single capsule, we propose a modular approach
where each of the capsules could have different functionalities,"
says Zoltán Nagy, a researcher at the Swiss Federal Institute of
Technology (ETH), in Zurich, and a member of the ARES project.
"Before we can actually talk about such complex robots inside the
stomach, we need to solve the fundamental problem of self-assembly.
Our work suggests one [way that] this can be done robustly," says
Nagy.
"One of the main constraints [of the swallowable imaging capsule]
is the battery," says Milan Dodig, a gastroenterologist at
Cleveland Clinic, who uses the device to treat his patients. "It
takes almost 60 percent of the volume of the capsule; it's not
steerable [and] can still miss stuff. The angle of the images is
also limiting, and you can't see the complete [intestine]."
In these scanning electron microscope images, electrodes coated with
carbon nanotubes, like the one on the right, are more conductive and
better at interfacing with nervous tissue. The electrode on the left
is bare.
Credit: Edward Keefer
[106]2. researchers at the University of Texas are developing
electrodes that are more efficient at both sending and receiving
electrical stimuli. These electrodes, which are coated with carbon
nanotubes, could lead to neural implants that monitor how they affect
the neurons that they stimulate, conserving battery life and reducing
side effects.
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Pancrazio says that the nanotube coating might enable researchers to
make smaller electrodes that cause fewer side effects. Using
conventional electrodes for deep-brain stimulation, Pancrazio says,
"you end up stimulating not only the area of interest but also other
regions, leading to speech dysfunction and other problems." The ideal
electrode would be small enough to interact with only a single neuron.
But when electrodes are miniaturized, their impedance increases and
their performance decreases. Electrodes coated in carbon nanotubes
might be more amenable to miniaturization.
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[124]Is the current US / World situation more like Mexico's crisis of
1994-1998 ?
People have mostly been comparing the current crisis to the Japanese
financial crisis and decade of economic stagnation. However there have
been other foreign financial crisis that may be a closer parallel. All
of the foreign financial crisis provide examples of what should be
avoided. A series of direct support programs in Mexico to homeowners
failed because it created a culture of non-payment for mortgages. Home
prices have to get stabilized and programs have to be designed to keep
people in their homes and making what payments that they can. Japan
showed the failure of acting too slowly with programs that were too
weak.
[125]Mexican taxpayers have been asked to absorb the cost of
bailing out the country's banks after the 1994 peso collapse and,
in addition, bear the burden of any new bad loans the institutions
have amassed since then [1994-1998].
[126]Here is a 2000 Harvard paper that examines the crisis faced by
Mexico and the failed attempts to Mexican attempt bailout its banks
and homeowners.
The currency devaluation that Mexico suffered at the end of 1994
set off a recession and banking crisis from which the country has
still not fully recovered. The housing market has been one of the
sectors most seriously affected. Despite attempts by the government
to aid banks and borrowers with mortgage loans, default rates have
remained high.
The results of this study provide insight into why the ADE
government aid program
failed between 1995 and 1996. Loan contracts that permitted
excessive negative amortization coupled with a decline in property
values left many borrowers with negative equity in their homes.
With negative home equity, borrowers default to maximize wealth.
Nearly two decades of research on mortgage pricing have shown that
default should be viewed as a contingent claim attached to the
mortgage contract. Lenders sell a put option when they originate a
mortgage that explicitly allows the borrower to relinquish the home
at the price of the mortgage. When the value of the outstanding
loan exceeds the value of the house, the put is in the money and a
rational, wealth-maximizing borrower will default. Mexican mortgage
holders have largely responded, as financial theory would predict,
by exercising the put option to default on their loans.
Direct discounts off the balance of the loan would have been a more
effective policy for stemming default and encouraging restructure.
Eventually, nearly three years later, the government did decide to
support banks in granting such discounts through a program called
Punto Final. By this time, however, borrowers had grown to expect a
new relief program each time delinquency rose. Strategic default
was well cultivated in the market making it ever harder to attain
positive results even from a well-designed program. Successive
policy failures, such as that of the ADE program, helped nurture a
culture of non-payment.
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FURTHER READING
[128]Another academic paper examining Mexico's problems up to 1994
[129]Japan's handling of its financial crisis also shows what does not
work well.
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[146]$200 Device Boosts Diesel Fuel Efficiency by 19% and Reduces
Particulate Pollution by 10 times
Emitted droplets from an electrified fuel injector split to become
smaller and smaller.
[147]A small device (less than $200 to produce) placed just before the
fuel injection for the engine, producing a strong electric field to
reduce the fuel viscosity, resulting in much smaller fuel droplets in
atomization. Because combustion starts at the droplet surface, smaller
droplets lead to cleaner (10 times less particulate pollution) and
more efficient combustion. Both laboratory tests and road tests
confirm our theory and indicate that such a device improves fuel
mileage significantly (mileage increased up to 19%). The technology is
expected to have broad applications, applicable to current internal
combustion engines and future engines as well.
Widely applied if it saved 10% of fuel usage it would saved the US
over $70 billion/year in oil. Only [148]a little over half of the oil
used in the USA is for cars and trucks the rest is for industrial
processes, heating, planes, trains, ships.
The technology, developed on the new physics principle, consumes
very small power and improves fuel efficiency significantly, we
expect it will have wide applications on all types of internal
combustion engines, present ones and future ones. By adjusting the
values for the electric field and time duration, we could make this
technology work effectively for other fuels, such as biodiesel,
kerosene, and gasoline.
[149]An electric field makes diesel thinner because some molecules
in the fuel become charged and aggregate together, reducing their
overall surface area. That means less friction between them, and a
less viscous fuel. Tao and colleagues believe fuel efficiency gains
were lower under stop-start urban driving conditions because the
rate at which fuel flows through their device constantly varies.
They are working on a version that varies its electric field to
match fuel flow rate and keep viscosity constantly reduced in stop
and go traffic.
Matt Thomas of CFD Research Corporation works on similar fuel
electrification techniques. He says fitting the device to new cars
will not produce such spectacular efficiency gains, but adds that
it would still cut emissions.
Being able to retrofit existing diesel engine cars and trucks with
this device would reduce overall oil usage by 2% in the USA. 10% of
oil is used for diesel fuel cars and trucks in the USA. This
technology would reduce European fuel usage by over 5% because of the
higher diesel fuel usage. Assuming that the technology will work on
other fuel types then the overall fuel consumption could be reduced by
10% or more. The cost to apply it the 100 million most highly used
cars and trucks would be $20 billion. Saving 10% of oil usage in the
USA would be 2 million barrels per day. The savings would be 200
million dollars per day assuming $100 per barrel for oil. This would
be over $70 billion dollars per year.
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(a) Installation of the device on the Cornaglia Iveco diesel engine.
(b) Installation of our device on Mercedes-Benz 300D, a diesel sedan.
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[167]Nanotechnology roundup: Graphene production and Copying Electric eel
cells for implantable batteries
[168]1. Two independent teams have shown that it is possible to
produce stable suspensions of single-layer graphene from graphite
crystals using chemical techniques.
[169]2. A numerical model of a cell from the electric eel shows that
artificial cells can be built to have higher power output densities
and greater energy conversion efficiencies than natural cells,
allowing them to potentially power medical implants and other devices.
Designing artificial cells to harness the biological ion concentration
gradient
Jian Xu & David A. Lavan
Cell membranes contain numerous nanoscale conductors in the form of
ion channels and ion pumps that work together to form ion
concentration gradients across the membrane to trigger the release
of an action potential. It seems natural to ask if artificial cells
can be built to use ion transport as effectively as natural cells.
Here we report a mathematical calculation of the conversion of ion
concentration gradients into action potentials across different
nanoscale conductors in a model electrogenic cell (electrocyte) of
an electric eel. Using the parameters extracted from the numerical
model, we designed an artificial cell based on an optimized
selection of conductors. The resulting cell is similar to the
electrocyte but has higher power output density and greater energy
conversion efficiency. We suggest methods for producing these
artificial cells that could potentially be used to power medical
implants and other tiny devices.
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3. [171]Graphene devices: The first observation of saturating
transistor characteristics in a graphene field-effect transistor is
reported, demonstrating the feasibility of graphene devices for
analogue and radio-frequency circuit applications without the need for
bandgap engineering.
Current saturation in zero-bandgap, top-gated graphene field-effect
transistors
Inanc Meric, Melinda Y. Han, Andrea F. Young, Barbaros Ozyilmaz,
Philip Kim & Kenneth L. Shepard
The novel electronic properties of graphene including a linear
energy dispersion relation and purely two-dimensional structure,
have led to intense research into possible applications of this
material in nanoscale devices. Here we report the first observation
of saturating transistor characteristics in a graphene field-effect
transistor. The saturation velocity depends on the charge-carrier
concentration and we attribute this to scattering by interfacial
phonons in the SiO2 layer supporting the graphene channels. Unusual
features in the current-voltage characteristic are explained by a
field-effect model and diffusive carrier transport in the presence
of a singular point in the density of states. The electrostatic
modulation of the channel through an efficiently coupled top gate
yields transconductances as high as 150 microS microm-1 despite low
on-off current ratios. These results demonstrate the feasibility of
two-dimensional graphene devices for analogue and radio-frequency
circuit applications without the need for bandgap engineering.
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[188]Stem cell Advance roundup : restroring hearing, fixing spinal cords,
fixing hearts and more
[189]1. Researchers have created healthy stem cells from adult
cells--no embryo required and no side effects.
Until now, however, creating iPS [induced pluripotent stem] cells
without integrated viruses had been a major hurdle for stem-cell
researchers. Although Hochedlinger has overcome that hurdle, he
says there is still some distance to travel. While retroviral
techniques allow scientists to turn about one in every 1,000 skin
cells into an iPS cell, the adenovirus is far less efficient: only
one in every 10,000 to 100,000 fetal liver cells can be converted.
Once there are more iPS cells they can be compared to embryonic stem
cells to confirm that they are identical.
[190]2. Singapore's Institute of Bioengineering and Nanotechnology
Announces: Reversible 3D Cell Culture Gel Invented by IBN Published in
[191]Nature Nanotechnology. This should help with the study and use of
stem cells and increase the flexibility of working with cells.
A thixotropic nanocomposite gel for three-dimensional cell culture
Y. Shona Pek, Andrew C. A. Wan, Asha Shekaran, Lang Zhuo & Jackie Y.
Ying
Thixotropic materials, which become less viscous under stress and
return to their original state when stress is removed, have been
used to deliver gel-cell constructs and therapeutic agents. Here we
show that a polymer-silica nanocomposite thixotropic gel can be
used as a three-dimensional cell culture material. The gel
liquefies when vortexed--allowing cells and biological components
to be added--and resolidifies to trap the components when the shear
force from spinning is removed. Good permeability of nutrients and
gases through the gel allows various cell types to proliferate and
be viable for up to three weeks. Human mesenchymal stem cells
cultured in stiffer gels developed bone-like behaviour, showing
that the rheological properties of the gel can control cell
differentiation. No enzymatic, chemical, or photo-crosslinking,
changes in ionic strength or temperature are required to form or
liquefy the gel, offering a way to sub-culture cells without using
trypsin--a protease commonly used in traditional cell culture
techniques.
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3. [193]Researchers in Rochester, N.Y., and Colorado have shown that
manipulating stem cells prior to transplantation may hold the key to
overcoming a critical obstacle to using stem cell technology to repair
spinal cord injuries.
The research teams in Denver and Rochester consider the
dramatically dissimilar outcomes between the different astrocyte
transplants a development that can change the way stem cell
technologies are used to repair spinal cord injuries. To that end,
the researchers are in the process of developing a safe, efficient
and cost-effective way to use this approach to better define the
optimal human astrocytes with an eye toward use for clinical
trials.
4. [194]According to an Italian research team publishing their
findings in the current issue of Cell Transplantation, hearing loss
due to cochlear damage may be repaired by transplantation of human
umbilical cord hematopoietic stem cells (HSC) since they show that a
small number migrated to the damaged cochlea and repaired sensory hair
cells and neurons.
5. [195]Mayo Clinic investigators have demonstrated that stem cells
can be used to regenerate heart tissue to treat dilated
cardiomyopathy, a congenital defect.
Researchers transplanted 200,000 embryonic stem cells into the wall
of the left ventricle of the knockout mice. After one month the
treatment improved heart performance, synchronized electrical
impulses and stopped heart deterioration, ultimately saving the
animal's life. Stem cells had grafted into the heart and formed new
cardiac tissue. Additionally, the stem cell transplantation
restarted cell cycle activity and halved the fibrosis that had been
developing after the initial damage. Stem cell therapy also
increased stamina and removed fluid buildup in the body, so
characteristic in heart failure.
6. [196]Immature, or "baby," fat cells lurk in the walls of the blood
vessels that nourish fatty tissue, just waiting for excess calories to
help them grow into the adult monsters responsible for packing on the
extra pounds, researchers at UT Southwestern Medical Center have found
in mice.
In future research, the scientists plan to characterize the cells
more fully and to isolate the progenitors just by removing unwanted
fat. These cells then can be moved to other locations in that same
person for reconstructive purposes, to treat a variety of diseases,
and also paradoxically to treat obesity and diabetes.
7. [197]A single cell can repopulate damaged skeletal muscle in mice,
say scientists at the Stanford University School of Medicine, who
devised a way to track the cell's fate in living animals. The research
is the first to confirm that so-called satellite cells encircling
muscle fibers harbor an elusive muscle stem cell.
Identifying and isolating such a cell in humans would have profound
therapeutic implications for disorders such as muscular dystrophy,
injury and muscle wasting due to aging, disuse or disease.
[198][advancednano?i=LoGzcQ]
[199][advancednano?i=eMV3L] [200][advancednano?i=UvBAL]
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spinal cords, fixing hearts and more'
[214]Spacex fourth launch successfully reaches orbit
[215]Spacex Exploration Technologies has successfully launched the
first privately-developed all-liquid fuel rocket that was able to
reach orbit.
[216]Falcon 1, a 70-foot-long rocket powered by liquid oxygen and
kerosene, is the first in a family of low-cost launch vehicles
priced at $7.9 million each.
Besides the Falcon 1, SpaceX is developing for NASA a larger launch
vehicle, Falcon 9, capable of flying to the international space
station when the current space shuttle fleet retires in 2010.
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There should be two more launches in 2008. A falcon 1 with a payload
and the first flight of the Falcon 9 heavy lift rocket. [218]The
launch manifest has five launches planned in 2009 and three in 2010.
ATSB (Malaysia) Q4 2008 Falcon 1
Falcon 9 Maiden Flight 2008 Falcon 9
MDA Corp. (Canada) 2009 Falcon 9
[219][advancednano?i=eC4QBN]
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[235]MIT solves 100 year Fluid Dynamics Problem
This month the MIT team reports extending its fluid separation theory
to three dimensions, as shown by this simulation of a fluid separating
(green lines) from the surface of a spinning sphere it is flowing
past. Image courtesy / Amit Surana, Gustaaf Jacobs and George Haller,
MIT
[236]MIT scientists and colleagues have reported new mathematical and
experimental work for predicting where that aerodynamic separation
will occur. This can lead to more efficient cars and better planes and
boats.
In 1904, Ludwig Prandtl derived the exact mathematical conditions
for flow separation to occur. But his work had two major
restrictions: first, it applied only to steady flows, such as those
around a car moving at a constant low speed. Second, it only
applied to idealized two-dimensional flows.
Since 1904 there have been intense efforts to extend Prandtl's
results to real-life problems, i.e., to unsteady three-dimensional
flows.
A century later, Haller led a group that did just that. In 2004
Haller published his first paper in the Journal of Fluid Mechanics
explaining the mathematics behind unsteady separation in two
dimensions. This month, his team reports completing the theory by
extending it to three dimensions. Haller's coauthors are Amit
Surana, now at United Technologies; MIT student Oliver Grunberg;
and Gustaaf Jacobs, now on the faculty at San Diego State
University.
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The researchers said it's too soon to quantify the level of
improvement in performance of cars and planes that might stem from the
work, noting that more work must be done before it can be applied to
commercial technologies
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[239][advancednano?i=d9z8L] [240][advancednano?i=KP5oL]
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More Recent Articles
* [254]CEO of Hyperion Power Generation interviewed about the
Uranium Hydride reactor
* [255]Tsunami invisibility: Hiding structures like Oil Rigs from
the effects of Waves
* [256]Carnival of Space Week 72
* [257]Superconducting Radiofrequency Cavities and the Emdrive
Project
* [258]China launches today the first of four modules for a chinese
space station
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272. http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/64651/2987253/http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_VyTCyizqrHs/SOD_-LDYLyI/AAAAAAAABYg/dyaJ0iKqppw/s1600-h/efuelinjector2.gif
273. http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/64651/2987253/http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_VyTCyizqrHs/SOEAc4Wlv5I/AAAAAAAABYo/zName50cKZQ/s1600-h/efuelinstalled.gif
274. http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/64651/2987253/http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_VyTCyizqrHs/SOBuWm41JkI/AAAAAAAABYY/UhGNCu6sJsQ/s1600-h/pluripotent_stem_cell.jpg
275. http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/64651/2987253/http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_VyTCyizqrHs/SOBlRETFnhI/AAAAAAAABYQ/aex8t-wzEHQ/s1600-h/spacex4liftoff.jpg
276. http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/64651/2987253/http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_VyTCyizqrHs/SOBjHx-HggI/AAAAAAAABYI/DbPSREWibfc/s1600-h/fluid-flow-surf-enlarged.jpg
----- End forwarded message -----
--
Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
______________________________________________________________
ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org
8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE
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