[tt] Next Big Future - 4 new articles
Eugen Leitl
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Tue Aug 19 15:19:40 UTC 2008
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Subject: Next Big Future - 4 new articles
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Here are the latest updates for eugen at leitl.org
"[2]Next Big Future" - 4 new articles
1. [3]Carbon nanotube producing companies
2. [4]China's usage of cement
3. [5]Defense Science Board examining Synthetic Biology
4. [6]If Tiger Woods has a Cartilage Tear in his Knee
5. [7]More Recent Articles
6. [8]Search Next Big Future
[9]Carbon nanotube producing companies
Surveying the carbon nanotube market, the leaders in large scale
production are Baytubes, Hyperion Catalysis International and Nanocyl.
Along with Bayer and Hyperion, other leading producers include
France's Arkema, Belgium's Nanocyl, Iljin Nanotech in South Korea, and
Shenzhen Nanotech Port in China. Japan's Mitsui has a joint venture
with Hodogaya Chemical for nanotube R&D, production, and distribution.
This will look at these and other competitors, some future expansion
plans and the main process that is used to get to larger scale
production. Expanded production will bring down the price
significantly for carbon nanotubes and lower price will make more
applications economical.
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[16]Baytubes are in the process of constructing a new production line
of 200 metric tons that we expect to be on-stream by 2009," Schmid
says. Depending on the success of that operation, [17]the Bayertubes
vision is to have 3,000 metric tons of capacity in place by 2011.
Bayertubes uses a catalytic chemical vaper deposition on a fluidized
bed process to produce large scale carbon nanotubes.
[18]Hyperion Catalysis International of Cambridge, Mass, has partnered
with Nanoledge in Germany to add Baytubes to epoxy resins used in
sporting equipment. Bayer also has a supply agreement with
FutureCarbon, which makes solvent-based nanodispersions and
concentrates for processing into other materials.
Some markets for carbon nanotubes for Bayer Material Science
(baytubes)
"We have done the dispersion step and sell concentrates or plastics
containing the nanotubes, typically in concentrations of 15-20% by
weight," Collins says. Because nanotubes are strong, but extremely
lightweight, and can be highly electrically conductive, the final
loading in a plastic part may be just 2-5%, or even less.
In its more than 20 years, [19]Hyperion has seen small- and
large-scale competitors emerge; about 35 MWNT suppliers can be found
on supplier lists. Along with Bayer and Hyperion, other leading
producers include France's Arkema, Belgium's Nanocyl, Iljin Nanotech
in South Korea, and Shenzhen Nanotech Port in China. Japan's Mitsui
has a joint venture with Hodogaya Chemical for nanotube R&D,
production, and distribution.
"Nanotubes are not yet a commodity, and it's not enough just to 'buy
nanotubes,'" Collins remarks in reference to the emergence of
importers that sell inexpensive tubes from other sources. "We
manufacture and sell at an attractive price based on the volume that
is purchased. It's not our intent--and we hope it's not our
competitors'--to sell product based on price. It should be based on
performance."
[20]Cnano Technology, Menlo Park, Calif., company was founded in 2006
with a plan to change the economics of nanotube production and advance
applications using extremely pure nanotubes. Cnano has what it calls a
"novel hybrid technology" for low-cost MWNT production and a
manufacturing site in China. In July, CMEA Ventures, Pangaea Ventures,
and WI Harper invested a combined $6 million in the company.
[21]Catalytic Materials of Pittsboro, N.C., has a patented process for
making high-purity MWNTs. And San Jose, Calif.-based Ahwahnee
Technology claims it can supply large-scale quantities of raw,
treated, or premixed MWNTs. It offers MWNT kits to enable end users to
test materials.
Among the leading large-scale producers is [22]Nanocyl, formed five
years ago as a spin-off of Belgium's University of Namur. In mid-2005,
it started up a 15-kg-per-day reactor, and today it has an [23]annual
capacity of 40 metric tons for industrial, specialty, and research
nanotubes.
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[41]China's usage of cement
World cement usage in 2008 is 2.8 billion tons and is forecast to be
[42]3.5 billion tons in 2012 China is using 1.3 billion tons in 2008
about 45% of the world total.
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The cement usage is mainly driven by the fact that China is adding a
one to one and half Los Angeles worth of city every year.
1.5%- 2% population migration from rural areas to small and large
cities.
20 million to 30 million people into cities.
Building apartments, houses, roads, rail, airports, offices and
factories.
[49]China aims to increase its operational railway lines from 75,438
km in
2005 to more than 90,000 km by 2010. So adding about 3000 km of rail
per year.
[50]Cement used for NYC subway was about 8000 cubic yards per mile.
11,260 tons per mile. (1.42 tons per cubic yard)
[51]China has about 34,000 km of highways (2006), a number that's
expected to more than double by 2020.
[52]China now has 3.57 million km of roads, linking 88 percent
villages and 98.5 percent rural towns.
[53]About 13 million tons of cement is needed per 100,000 km of rural
road. [33 pounds of cement per square yard of road, 7 yards wide, 1760
yards per mile = 203 tons per mile or 127 tons per km]
[54]Some 270,000 km of rural highways will be built and upgraded in
2008. By comparison, 423,000 km of countryside highways were built or
upgraded in 2007, a record high. So about 35 million tons of cement in
2008 and 60 million tons of cement in 2007.
[55]The interstate highway in the US was responsible for 31% of the
productivity increase in the USA after it was build and still boosts
productivity
[56]Construction non-residential buildings was two fifths of building
construction in China
New construction will advance at a nine percent annual rate in real
terms through 2011, continuing to outpace improvements and repairs.
This trend will sustain through the next decade as China continues a
high pace of economic development and industrialization. New
construction also dwarfs improvements and repairs in size, accounting
for over three-quarters of all construction expenditures in 2011.
China is building the equivalent of a 3 gorges dam every 2 years. They
are putting dams on many other rivers. But the dam only used 10.8
million tons of cement. Less than 1% of one year's demand.
Construction expenditures in China are forecast to increase 8.8
percent annually through 2011 to ¥6.4 trillion in real
(inflation-adjusted) terms. An ever expanding domestic economy,
continuing endeavors to upgrade infrastructure, sustained strength in
foreign investment funding, healthy demand for Chinese manufactured
goods, and
further population and household growth will all work to drive
construction market gains in China.
Nonbuilding construction expenditures will climb ten percent annually
in real terms through 2011, fueled primarily by the government's
efforts to modernize and expand China's physical infrastructure. These
efforts include plans to upgrade the nation's rail system, to expand
the national highway network -- known as the "7918 Network", and to
enhance energy supplies through construction of new power plants such
as the Xiluodu Hydropower Plant and the Yangjiang Nuclear Power
Station
[57]Nonbuilding construction fastest growing end use
Cement consumption in [58]nonbuilding construction will continue to
post the best gains of any end-use segment, rising 6.8 percent yearly
through 2010. Gains will be stimulated mainly by strong growth in
China's nonbuilding construction activity. The government's continued
efforts to modernize the country's infrastructure is exemplified by
such massive projects as the South-North Water Diversion -- designed
to redirect water to the northern plains from central and south China.
This project, scheduled for completion in 2050, will result in annual
cement consumption of over one million metric tons.
Nonresidential building will remain the largest end use for cement in
China, growing at a 4.6 percent annual rate through 2010. Continued
strength in foreign and private direct investment in commercial real
estate development will help spur market gains.
Ready-mix concrete manufacturers in China will be the strongest market
for cement, climbing at an annual pace of 12.9% to reach 194 million
metric tons in 2008. Growth will be driven by the government's 2004
ban on onsite concrete production, enacted to help reduce
environmental damage from onsite cement operations and improve the
overall quality of concrete used in construction
FURTHER READING
[59]McKinsey on China's urbanization
China's urban population will expand from 572 million in 2005 to
926 million in 2025 and hit the one billion mark by 2030. In 20
years, China's cities will have added 350 million people--more than
the entire population of the United States today [17.5 million per
year]. By 2025, China will have 219 cities with more than one
million inhabitants--compared with 35 in Europe today--and 24
cities with more than five million people.
[60]This site believes that China's urbanization is happening faster
than official Chinese figures have indicated.
[61]China is expecting 24 million new job seekers in cities and towns
[62]Official figure was 577 million (44%) urban population in 2006
[63]China was 37.7% urban in 2002 6.3% increase in 4 years. 1.6% per
year increase. 21 million per year.
[64]The Economist magazine talks about China's infrastructure splurge
[65]Worldwide construction report
[66]Construction machinery China is a booming business as is all
construction related activity in China
[67]China cement is more expensive than Thailand's cement
[68]China's cement demand
[69]China's CO2 emissions
[70]Cement at wikipedia
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[88]Defense Science Board examining Synthetic Biology
[89]The Defense Science Board will examine how the Defense Department
could benefit from scientific breakthroughs in the field of synthetic
biology.
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John Young, the under secretary of defense for acquisition, technology
and logistics, wants DSB members to "survey" developments in
biotechnology and "attempt to project transition paths from research
into current and future defense applications," according to a June 11
memo Young sent to the panel's chairman.
[96]The United Kingdom's Biotechnology and Biological Sciences
Research Council's released a report 'Synthetic Biology: social and
ethical challenges' on June 9 2008
There is no agreed definition of synthetic biology, but it is best
understood as the deliberate design of biological systems and
living organisms using engineering principles.
The technological manipulation of life was first advocated at the
turn of the last century and was instrumental in shaping the rise
of molecular biology. However, the widespread use of the term has
only occurred since the mid-2000s, as the field has emerged owing
to the falling cost of gene sequencing and synthesis. The aims of
synthetic biology include: 1) the production of minimal living
genomes; 2) the design of interchangeable parts that can be
assembled into pathways for the fabrication of novel components; 3)
the construction of entirely artificial cells; and 4) the creation
of synthetic biomolecules.
RELATED READING
[97]John Young was a witness on the 21 March 2007 hearing to receive
testimony on Department of Defense counterproliferation,
counterterrorism, and science and technology priorities
[98]John Young receiving Presidential Citation at Georgia Tech on May
24, 2008
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[116]If Tiger Woods has a Cartilage Tear in his Knee
[117]From Yahoo Sports: The surgery on meniscus in Tiger Wood's left
knee in April didn't work as well as hope. One knee expert, while
obviously not privy to the medical records, watched Woods this weekend
and saw trouble.
This is not a story related to a "big future", but it is science and
medicine related and could have big cultural impact if Tiger Woods has
lasting health problems effecting his career.
Future Technology
[118]Researchers have used carbon nanotubes and electricity to coax
the growth of stronger, bone-cushioning cartilage.
Researchers report in the Journal of Biomedical Materials Research
Part A that they successfully grew cartilage around carbon
nanotubes in their lab--and are optimistic that one day they will
be able to duplicate the feat inside the human body. They may get a
step closer in September, when they plan to implant carbon
nanotubes in sheep joints to test--for the first time--their
technique outside the lab. Researchers say they hastened new cell
production by sending electrical surges through the nanotubes,
which are also excellent conductors of electricity.
Webster has come a long way since his original experiments with in
vitro bone tissue growth. Over the past decade, he added bladder,
cartilage, central nervous system, and vascular tissue growth to
his repertoire. The principle is the same in each: Growing cells
are more likely to adhere to and thrive on a rough nanotube surface
than on smooth bone or fraying cartilage.
"The use of nanotechnology in scaffolds to assist with regenerating
cartilage is novel," says Constance Chu, director of the University
of Pittsburgh Medical Center's Cartilage Restoration Program and an
orthopedic surgeon specializing in cartilage regeneration and
osteoarthritis, "and would be of high interest if it can eventually
improve the functional properties of the regenerated cartilage."
CARBON NANOTUBE REINFORCED CARTILAGE: A cartilage-forming cell (known
as a chondrocyte) interacts with carbon nanotube fibers in this image.
The researchers' goal is to grow carbon nanotube-reinforced cartilage
in the body that is stronger than the torn or worn cartilage it is
replacing.
Courtesy of Brown University
Back to Tiger's Potential Problem
"Just so we're clear, I have not seen Tiger's operative reports,
and I am not saying he's done," said Dr. Howard Luks, an orthopedic
surgeon in Westchester, N.Y. who specializes in athletes. "But one
has to imagine, with the amount of discomfort he's experiencing
this long after the surgery, that there are some degenerative
symptoms or arthritic symptoms, or something that doesn't respond
well to pivoting, turning, and twisting.
Woods is having problems, which suggests the more serious and more
difficult to treat hyaline cartilage problem, according to Luks.
[119]There are two kinds of treatment for a cartilage tear
The most common procedure with pro athletes is called a menisectomy,
which means we take out that portion of the meniscus that's torn. When
you read in the newspaper that a player's meniscus has been repaired,
most of the time that's not correct. It usually means that a portion
of the meniscus was removed so that the knee would be functionally
normal, but not anatomically normal.
Some of these tears can be repaired. The good part of the repair is
that it extends the longevity of the knee's healthy function. The bad
part is that it will take the player out of action for six months
minimum. The blood supply to the meniscus is present throughout the
outer 25 percent of it. Any tear that is in the substance of the
meniscus and isn't located near the connection to the soft tissue
won't heal because there's no blood supply to it.
The ongoing symtpoms include pain along the side of the knee where the
meniscus is torn when he twists or flexes his knee or when there's a
combination of flexing and twisting. He might have instability as well
in which a piece of cartilage actually moves in the joint and gives
him the feeling that his knee is going to give.
Long Term: You put the articular cartilage at risk when there's a
deficit of meniscus cartilage. When the articular cartilage wears out,
that's what we commonly call arthritis. When you take out meniscus,
you put more load on the articular cartilage, which is more likely to
wear out. But there are a lot of variables that make it hard to
predict when the knee will become arthritic.
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----- End forwarded message -----
--
Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
______________________________________________________________
ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org
8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE
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