[tt] Next Big Future - 3 new articles

Eugen Leitl <eugen at leitl.org> on Tue Aug 19 12:40:14 UTC 2008

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Subject: Next Big Future - 3 new articles
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"[2]Next Big Future" - 3 new articles

    1. [3]Latest update on Bussard Fusion Prototype WB7
    2. [4]Stronger paper and rapid manufacturing
    3. [5]Death and Taxes
    4. [6]More Recent Articles
    5. [7]Search Next Big Future

[8]Latest update on Bussard Fusion Prototype WB7

   [9]The Emc2 team has been ramping up its tests over the past few
   months, with the aim of using WB-7 to verify Bussard's WB-6 results.
   Today, Nebel said he's confident that the answers will be forthcoming,
   one way or the other.
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     "We're fully operational and we're getting data," Nebel said. "The
     machine runs like a top. You can just sit there and take data all
     afternoon.
     Nebel may be low-key about the experiment, but he has high hopes
     for Bussard's Polywell fusion concept. If it works the way Nebel
     hopes, the system could open the way for larger-scale, commercially
     viable fusion reactors and even new types of space propulsion
     systems.
     "We're looking at power generation with this machine," Nebel said.
     "This machine is so inexpensive going into the 100-megawatt range
     that there's no compelling reason for not just doing it. We're
     trying to take bigger steps than you would with a conventional
     fusion machine."

   EMC2 built the laboratory and an experiment in nine months. If a
   working scaled up production system could be built in comparable time
   then the main part (not the site preparation and power lines) of any
   new reactor could be produced in 9 months or less.
   [16]this site had an article about the space propulsion breakthrough
   that this fusion system would enable if it is successful

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[34]Stronger paper and rapid manufacturing

   [35]A new kind of paper is stronger than cast iron and could be used
   to reinforce conventional paper, produce extra-strong sticky tape or
   help create tough synthetic replacements for biological tissues, says
   Lars Berglund from the Swedish Royal Institute of Technology in
   Stockholm, Sweden.
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     Despite its great strength, Berglund's "nanopaper" is produced from
     a biological material found in conventional paper: cellulose. This
     long sugar molecule is a principal component of plant cell walls
     and is the most common organic compound on Earth. Wood is typically
     about half cellulose, mixed with other structural compounds.
     Cellulose is extracted from wood to make paper, is the basis of
     cellophane, and has also recently been used by materials scientists
     developing novel plastic materials. But they have used it only as a
     cheap filler material, ignoring its mechanical properties.
     However, the mechanical processes used to pulp wood and process it
     into paper damage the individual cellulose fibres, greatly reducing
     their strength. So Berglund and colleagues have developed a gentler
     process that preserves the fibres' strength.
     The new method involves breaking down wood pulp with enzymes and
     then fragmenting it using a mechanical beater. The shear forces
     produced cause the cellulose to gently disintegrate into its
     component fibres. The end result is undamaged cellulose fibres
     suspended in water.

   It also means that the 214 megapascal strength paper (versus 1
   megapascal for regular paper).
   [42]There is already a person who used 3D modelling and computerized
   cutting to create a cardboard based surfboard covered with epoxy.
   The new paper made only from plant cellulose would be cheaper and
   strong enough for many applications.
   [43]Here is a link to video showing the assembly of the cardboard
   surfboard
   [44]Previous discussion on new ideas for a manufacturing and
   construction revolution. The new nanopaper will enable more rapid
   manufacturing with cheaper materials.
   FURTHER READING
   [45]Feature on cardboard surfboard in surfer magazine
   He looked to aerospace blogs for insight into the strength-to-weight
   ratio as it relates to design and how to graphically manipulate lines
   and rib interactions for his cardboard cores. "I'd look for the math
   that explained how to apply curves using programming language.
   Sheldrake cut the cardboard-core surfboard pieces using the stone
   company's laser cutter.

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[63]Death and Taxes

   [64]U.S. life expectancy has been steadily rising, usually by about
   two to three months from year to year. This year's jump of fourth
   months to 78.1 years is
   "an unusually rapid improvement," Preston said.
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   [71]The preliminary number of deaths in the United States in 2006 was
   2,425,900, a 22,117 decrease from the 2005 total. With a rapidly
   growing older population, declines in the number of deaths (as opposed
   to death rates) are unusual, and the 2006 decline is likely the result
   of more mild influenza mortality in 2006 compared with 2005.
   [72]37 page preliminary analysis of the proposed McCain and proposed
   Obama tax plans The plans would reduce tax revenues by $3.7 trillion
   (McCain) and $2.7 trillion (Obama) over the next 10 years, or
   approximately 10 and 7 percent of the revenues scheduled for
   collection under current law, respectively.
   [73]This is confirming this site's previous analysis that Obama's plan
   to tax the rich will not result in more tax revenue More of what
   people in the higher income brackets report will be taxed but there
   will be less revenue because of changes in tax strategies to avoid
   taxation.
   So the CDC report on 2006 US life expectancy and the Urban Institute
   and Brooking Instition tax policy center analysis are indicating less
   death and less tax revenue.
   Tax plan summaries

     Senator McCain would permanently extend the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts,
     increase deductions for taxpayers supporting dependents, reduce the
     corporate income tax rate, and allow immediate deductions for the
     cost of certain short-lived capital equipment. Senator Obama would
     permanently extend certain provisions of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts
     primarily affecting taxpayers with incomes under $250,000; increase
     the maximum rate on capital gains and qualified dividends; and
     enact new and expanded targeted tax breaks for workers, retirees,
     homeowners, savers, students, and new farmers. Senator McCain
     proposes to extend permanently the AMT "patch" that has prevented
     most individuals and families with incomes below $200,000 from
     being affected by the tax, and in our interpretation of his
     proposal, Senator Obama would do the same. Each candidate would
     also increase the estate tax exemption and reduce the estate tax
     rate compared with current law in 2011 and beyond, although Senator
     McCain would cut the tax much more than Senator Obama. Finally,
     each candidate promises to broaden the tax base and reduce
     corporate loopholes. McCain lists eight breaks for oil companies as
     targets but, other than that, is short on details for his pledge to
     eliminate "corporate welfare." Obama identifies a variety of steps,
     including basis reporting for capital gains, taxing carried
     interest as ordinary income, and enacting sanctions on
     international tax havens that don't cooperate with enforcement
     efforts, but he would also need additional as-yet-unspecified
     policies to achieve his revenue target for base broadening.

   How there were fewer deaths in 2006

     The 2006 increase is due mainly to falling mortality rates for nine
     of the 15 leading causes of death, including heart disease, cancer,
     accidents and diabetes.
     "I think the most surprising thing is that we had declines in just
     about every major cause of death," said Robert Anderson, who
     oversaw work on the report for the health statistics center.
     The overall death rate fell from 799 per 100,000 in 2005 to about
     776 the following year.
     Perhaps the most influential factor in the 2006 success story,
     however, was the flu. Flu and pneumonia deaths dropped by 13
     percent from 2005, reflecting a mild flu season in 2006, Anderson
     said. That also meant a diminished threat to people with heart
     disease and other conditions. Taken together, it's a primary
     explanation for the 22,000 fewer deaths in 2006 from 2005, experts
     said.

   FURTHER READING
   [74]History of tax in the USA
   [75]2007 tax brackets at wikipedia
   [76]Top incomes and composition (salary, business income, capital
   gains)
   [77]Year top rate and income level of top rate
   [78]Tax policy center site
   [79]tax brackets by year
   [80]Individual tax rates
   How many in the higher tax brackets
   [81]Sources of historical tax information
   [82]Historical networth 1989 to now
   [83]Effective tax rates

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More Recent Articles

     * [101]Updates on World Oil Production and Demand
     * [102]Blog Economics
     * [103]Modelling and Enabling a Manufacturing and Construction
       Revolution
     * [104]Top Ten Near Term Developments for Vastly Improved
       Capabilities in Space
     * [105]Obama's plan to tax the rich won't work

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----- End forwarded message -----
-- 
Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
______________________________________________________________
ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org
8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A  7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE

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