[tt] the physics arXiv blog

[Eugen Leitl]

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From: the physics arXiv blog <howdy at arxivblog.com>
Date: Fri, 6 Jun 2008 12:39:02 -0500 (CDT)
To: eugen at leitl.org
Subject: the physics arXiv blog
Reply-To: the physics arXiv blog <howdy at arxivblog.com>


[1]the physics arXiv blog

   [2]Western Europe warming much faster than expected

   Posted: 06 Jun 2008 04:34 AM CDT

   [3]European warming 

   There's little doubt these days over whether the planet is heating up.
   Temperature measurements clearly show the trend and in recent years,
   computer models of the Earth's climate have been able to reproduce
   these increases pretty accurately when carbon dioxide is injected into
   their virtual atmospheres.

   Where climate models fall down, however, is in predicting how the
   climate will change on a regional scale. The Netherlands, for example,
   is represented by a single grid square in global climate models. So
   that makes it hard to work out how global patterns may influence the
   climate in the Netherlands.

   Today, a group of meterologists from the Royal Netherlands
   Meterological Institute (KNMI), the Dutch weather forecasting outfit,
   examine warming trends in western Europe and say the current models of
   regional climate change have vastly underestimated the rate of change.
   Yep, that's underestimated.

   What the team has done is identify many of the reasons why regional
   models fall down. They say the models fail to account for stronger
   wind circulation patterns in winter and spring, misrepresent the North
   Atlantic Current that brings warm water from the  equator  to western
   Europe and underestimate the amount of sunshine in some places. There
   are also important differnces between observed and modelled effects of
   aerosols and snow at various places and times too.

   That's important to know because it should be possible to fix the
   regional climate models  to take account of these effects. At least,
   in theory.In the meantime, Western Europe is warming much faster than
   regional climate models have suggested. The message from KNMI is that
   you live in the Netherlands (or anywhere else in Western Europe),
   stock up on ice cubes and suncream.

   Ref:  [4]arxiv.org/abs/0806.0715: Western Europe is Warming Much
   Faster Than Expected

   [5][arXivblog?i=rJlpwu] 
   [6][arXivblog?i=w8ePwI] [7][arXivblog?i=JXXO7I]
   [8][arXivblog?i=PwdBmi] [9][arXivblog?i=kZYknI]
   [10][arXivblog?i=tbaM6i] [11][arXivblog?i=Wt2s4I]
   [12][arXivblog?i=zsWEai] [13][arXivblog?i=agqwtI] 
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References

   1. http://arxivblog.com/
   2. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/arXivblog/~3/305972752/
   3. http://arxivblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/06/european-warming.jpg
   4. http://arxiv.org/abs/0806.0715
   5. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~a/arXivblog?a=rJlpwu
   6. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~f/arXivblog?a=w8ePwI
   7. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~f/arXivblog?a=JXXO7I
   8. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~f/arXivblog?a=PwdBmi
   9. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~f/arXivblog?a=kZYknI
  10. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~f/arXivblog?a=tbaM6i
  11. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~f/arXivblog?a=Wt2s4I
  12. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~f/arXivblog?a=zsWEai
  13. http://feeds.feedburner.com/~f/arXivblog?a=agqwtI
  14. http://arxivblog.com/
  15. http://www.feedburner.com/fb/a/emailunsub?id=8632699&key=kesJ612ZsV
  16. http://feeds.feedburner.com/arXivblog
  17. http://feeds.feedburner.com/arXivblog

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Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
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