[tt] Next Big Future - 5 new articles
Eugen Leitl
<eugen at leitl.org> on
Wed Apr 16 13:58:37 UTC 2008
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Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2008 05:21:12 -0400
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Subject: Next Big Future - 5 new articles
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"[2]Next Big Future" - 5 new articles
1. [3]$153 million city dome protection from nuclear weapon and money
generating applications
2. [4]$153 million thin film dome can be made with todays tech,
provide nuke bomb protection, high speed communication and other
benefits [del.icio.us]
3. [5]Canada new natural gas finds and new nuclear power
4. [6]Meat factories, food substitution and veganism
5. [7]Brazil may have new Sugar loaf oil field may have 33 billion
barrels of oil
6. [8]More Recent Articles
7. [9]Search Next Big Future
[10]$153 million city dome protection from nuclear weapon and money
generating applications
Click for larger image
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[17]I had previously looked at making two large concrete or
nanomaterial monolithic or geodesic domes over cities which could
protect a city from nuclear bombs.
[18]Now Alexander Bolonkin has come up with a cheaper, technological
easy and more practical approach with thin film inflatable domes. It
not only would provide protection form nuclear devices it could be
used to place high communication devices, windmill power and a lot of
other money generating uses. The film mass covered of 1 km**2 of
ground area is M1 = 2×10**6 mc = 600 tons/km**2 and film cost is
$60,000/km**2.
The area of big city diameter 20 km is 314 km**2. Area of
semi-spherical dome is 628 km2. The cost of Dome cover is 62.8
millions $US. We can take less the overpressure (p = 0.001atm) and
decrease the cover cost in 5 - 7 times. The total cost of installation
is about 30-90 million $US. Not only is it only about $153 million to
protect a city it is cheaper than a geosynchronous satellite for high
speed communications. [19]Alexander Bolonkin's website The fact that
this thing could generate so much revenue and be the platform for so
many services and benefits makes the Domes look like certain fixtures
for our future. It solves or improves the broadband problem, energy
generation and a host of other issues.
The author suggests a cheap closed AB-Dome which protects the
densely populated cities from nuclear, chemical, biological weapon
(bombs) delivered by warheads, strategic missiles, rockets, and
various incarnations of aviation technology. The offered AB-Dome is
also very useful in peacetime because it shields a city from
exterior weather and creates a fine climate within the ABDome. The
hemispherical AB-Dome is the inflatable, thin transparent film,
located at altitude up to as much as 15 km, which converts the city
into a closed-loop system. The film may be armored the stones which
destroy the rockets and nuclear warhead. AB-Dome protects the city
in case the World nuclear war and total poisoning the Earth's
atmosphere by radioactive fallout (gases and dust). Construction of
the AB-Dome is easy; the enclosure's film is spread upon the
ground, the air pump is turned on, and the cover rises to its
planned altitude and supported by a small air overpressure. The
offered method is cheaper by thousand times than protection of city
by current antirocket systems. The AB-Dome may be also used (height
up to 15 and more kilometers) for TV, communication, telescope,
long distance location, tourism, high placed windmills (energy),
illumination and entertainments. The author developed theory of
AB-Dome, made estimation, computation and computed a typical
project.
H/T to [20]Wired Danger room
Yes, the Simpson's movie had a dome over Springfield.
His idea is a thin dome covering a city with that is a very
transparent film 2 (Fig.1). The film has thickness 0.05 - 0.3 mm.
One is located at high altitude (5 - 20 km). The film is supported
at this altitude by a small additional air pressure produced by
ground ventilators. That is connected to Earth's ground by managed
cables 3. The film may have a controlled transparency option. The
system can have the second lower film 6 with controlled
reflectivity, a further option.
The offered protection defends in the following way. The smallest
space warhead has a
minimum cross-section area 1 m2 and a huge speed 3 - 5 km/s. The
warhead gets a blow and overload from film (mass about 0.5 kg).
This overload is 500 - 1500g and destroys the warhead (see
computation below). Warhead also gets an overpowering blow from 2
-5 (every mass is 0.5 - 1 kg) of the strong stones. Relative (about
warhead) kinetic energy of every stone is about 8 millions of
Joules! (It is in 2-3 more than energy of 1 kg explosive!). The
film destroys the high speed warhead (aircraft, bomber, wing
missile) especially if the film will be armored by stone.
Our dome cover (film) has 2 layers: top transparant layer 2,
located at a maximum altitude (up 5 -20 km), and lower transparant
layer 4 having control reflectivity, located at altitude of 1-3 km
(option). Upper transparant cover has thickness about 0.05 - 0.3 mm
and supports the protection strong stones (rebbles) 8. The stones
have a mass 0.2 - 1 kg and locate the step about 0.5 m.
If we want to control temperature in city, the top film must have
some layers: transparant dielectric layer, conducting layer (about
1 - 3 microns), liquid crystal layer (about 10 - 100 microns),
conducting layer (for example, SnO2), and transparant dielectric
layer. Common thickness is 0.05 - 0.5 mm. Control voltage is 5 - 10
V. This film may be produced by industry relatively cheaply.
If some level of light control is needed materials can be incorporated
to control transparency. Also, some transparent solar cells can be
used to gather wide area solar power.
As you see the 10 kt bomb exploded at altitude 10 km decreases the air
blast effect about in 1000
times and thermal radiation effect without the second cover film in
500 times, with the second reflected film about 5000 times. The
hydrogen 100kt bomb exploded at altitude 10 km decreases the air blast
effect about in 10 times and thermal radiation effect without the
second cover film in 20 times, with the second reflected film about
200 times. Only power 1000kt thermonuclear (hydrogen) bomb can damage
city. But this damage will be in 10 times less from air blast and in
10 times less from thermal radiation. If the film located at altitude
15 km, the
damage will be in 85 times less from the air blast and in 65 times
less from the thermal radiation.
For protection from super thermonuclear (hydrogen) bomb we need in
higher dome altitudes (20-30 km and more). We can cover by AB-Dome the
important large region and full country.
Because the Dome is light weight it could be to stay in place even
with very large holes. Multiple shells of domes could still be made
for more protection.
Better climate inside a dome can make for more productive farming.
AB-Dome is cheaper in hundreds times then current anti-rocket systems.
2. AB-Dome does not need in high technology and can build by poor
country.
3. It is easy for building.
4. Dome is used in peacetime; it creates the fine climate (weather)
into Dome.
5. AB-Dome protects from nuclear, chemical, biological weapon.
6. Dome produces the autonomous existence of the city population after
total World nuclear war
and total confinement (infection) all planet and its atmosphere.
7. Dome may be used for high region TV, for communication, for long
distance locator, for
astronomy (telescope).
8. Dome may be used for high altitude tourism.
9. Dome may be used for the high altitude windmills (getting of cheap
renewable wind energy).
10. Dome may be used for a night illumination and entertainment
The protection from the first and maybe more nuclear missiles is very
good. Better than other systems. But the best part is $153
million/city to make and install cheaper than a communication
satellite launch. Put high speed communication all over it. Gigabit+
per second wireless citywide and upgradeable systems so when better
communications gear comes along then upgrade to terabit per second.
Obviously if someone blows up your dome. It is war and you have made
your cities at least twice as hard to kill. It would take time for the
Dome to fall and there is a second or third layer dome farther below.
Plus mini-domes could be inflated in the event of primary dome
collapse or when you detect more nuclear launches. Mini-domes able to
deploy quickly and handle 5 psi of over pressure can reduce any
followup damage radius by ten times. Then dozens nukes would be needed
to completely kill a city.
He is assuming the nuke blows up on the outside of the dome because if
it hits the dome it would be destroyed and not blow up. Then the
distance means that the explosive effect is far less. With other domes
deployed then the overpressure blasts can be protected against as
well.
FURTHER INFO
Bolonkin worked in Soviet aviation, rocket and Space industries and
lectured in main Soviet University about 15 years. In particularty, in
Kiev Aircraft State Design Bureau headed by O.Antonov, Bolonkin took
part in design of aircraft AN-8 through AN-225 (Enginer-Senior
Engineer-Chairman of Department); in Rocket engine Construction Bureau
headed by Academician V.P.Glushko, Bolonkin was Chairman of
Reliability Department and took part in design of rocket engines for
main strategic rockets of the USSR; in TsAGI (central
Aero-Hydrodynamic Research Institute) A. Bolonkin was a scientific
researcher.
He lectured as a professor and worked as a Project Director in Moscow
Aviation Institute, Moscow Aviation Technological Institute, Bauman
Highest Technical University, Technological Institute, He contacted
with Construction Bureaus of Tupolev, Yakovlev, Mikoyan, Ilushin,
Sykhoy, with all main aviation, rocket and space research and design
Centrers of the USSR. He had many awards in the Soviet Union.
In 1988, Alexander Bolonkin arrived as a political refuge in the USA
and became American citizen in 1994. He worked as a mathematician in
Sherson Lehman Hutton (American Express), N.Y., (Research,
computation, programming, Optimal portfolio of securities), a Senior
Researcher in Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences of New York
University; two years as a Senior Research Associate in Wright
Laboratory, Flight Dynamic Directorate (Dayton, Ohio), (it is the main
Laboratory of the USA Air Force with over 20,000 scientists); as a
professor in New jersy Institute of Technology, Computer and
Information Department. He worked as an expert of Association
Engineers and Scientists in N.Y.C. (Estimation of new ideas, projects,
patents. Consulting).
He worked two years as a Senior Research Associate in the NASA (Dryden
Flight
Research Center) in California, Edwards.
Now Dr. Bolonkin lectures at the New Jersey Institute of Technology.
Over the four years alone, A.Bolonkin published 9 scientific articles
and books in the USA and a lot of articles in Russia-American press
about scientific problems. He took part in three World Space Congress
(1992, 1994, 1996), in World Aviation Congress (Los-Angeles, 1998,
1999) and eight National Scientific Conferences in the USa. In
particularly, he published monograph "Development of Soviet pocket
engines for Strategic Missiles", Delphic Ass., USA, 1991, 133 p., and
large Chapter "Aviation, motor, and Space Designs" in book
"Development Technology in the Soviet Union", pp.32-80, Delphic Ass.,
USA, 1990.
Alexander Bolonkin is the author of 60 scientific articles and books
and 13 inventions
If frost damage protection can be provided. It could make sense to
cover contiguous areas of Florida's citrus crops.
[21]The Florida citrus industry provides $9 billion/year of crops from
748,000 acres of land.
One square kilometer is 247.1 acres.
$60,000/km**2 for material (triple for installed price).
Less than $700 per acre.
Could be about $500 million to protect Florida crops for decades.
Cheaper and smaller domes (around $200,000-1,000,000) could provide
secondary containment for nuclear power plants by covering one square
kilometer, while also providing aircraft and missile protection. It
would be very cheap extra insurance.
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[38]$153 million thin film dome can be made with todays tech, provide nuke
bomb protection, high speed communication and other benefits [del.icio.us]
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[50]Canada new natural gas finds and new nuclear power
Canada has had several new natural gas finds that seem to more than
double the 57 trillion cf of reserves previously recorded. Plus some
of the oilsand methods are burning some of the oilsands to get the
rest flowing (THAI/Capris)
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[57]Bruce power has applied to build 4 nuclear reactors in Alberta
(4000MW). First power could be in 2017.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601082&sid=akvrYI_jxuEY&refer
=canada
April 8 (Bloomberg) -- Apache Corp., the U.S. oil and natural-gas
company that has almost a quarter of its reserves in Canada, said
three shale gas wells began production in British Columbia in the
western part of the country.
The company said its stake in Ootla, about 60 miles from Fort Nelson
in northeastern British Columbia, may hold 9 trillion to 16 trillion
cubic feet of gas. Horizontal wells test flowed at rates of 8.8
million cubic feet, 6.1 million cubic feet and 5.3 million cubic feet
of gas a day
[58]This natural gas plus the Montney find in BC (50-80 trillion cf)
and the Horn River basin (12+ trillion cf.)
[59]The Montney shale is deep, making drilling more expensive. Second,
year-round drilling in northern Canada is precluded by weather
conditions, so the pace of development can never be as furious as that
seen in the Barnett. These are just two reasons to help explain why
EOG is only modeling a 20% after-tax rate of return in the Montney
play
[60]BC's government is making it easier to exploit natural gas.
Quebec also has a large natural gas find. The [61]Utica Shale based on
some of the Canadian-based research on the play to date the size of
the resource is being estimated between 24 and 30 trillion cubic feet
of natural gas.
[62]Natural gas is useful for developing the oilsands in Alberta.
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[79]Meat factories, food substitution and veganism
[80]The Speculist talks about meat factories (making meat from stem
cells) and a personal conversion to veganism or vegetarianism.
[81]Part of this was initiated by an article that posited that meat
eaters are bad people. [I do not agree with this position, are wolves
bad?, but I feel that if achieving a goal of reduced animal harm does
not harm humans or reduce human progress then the goal of reduced
animal harm is not an unreasonable objective.]
[82]People are growing meat now
[83]In five to 10 years, supermarkets might have some new products in
the meat counter: packs of vat-grown meat that are cheaper to produce
than livestock and have less impact on the environment.
According to a [84]new economic analysis presented at the In Vitro
Meat Symposium in Ås, Norway, meat grown in giant tanks known as
bioreactors would cost between $5,200-$5,500 a ton (3,300 to 3,500
euros), which the analysis claims is cost competitive with European
beef prices.
To produce the meat we eat now, 75 to 95 percent of what we feed an
animal is lost because of metabolism and inedible structures like
skeleton or neurological tissue. So invitro meat could be 4 to 20
times more efficient.
There has been other food substitutions:
[85]Egg substitute - from egg whites
[86]Margerine, a blend of vegetable oils or meat fats (or a
combination of both) mixed with milk and salt, in place of butter.
[87]Soy meat and soy protein products.
A lot of processed food:
Yoghurt, twinkies (and other chemical and corn syrup concoctions),
whey protein products and bars, spam, [88]meat slurry
[89]Reasons for invitro meat.
Global production of meat is projected to more than double from 229
million tons/year in 1999/2000 to 465 million tons/year in 2050
(Steinfeld et al. 2006, FAO document). [Growing at abuot 4.7
million tons per year]
The total area occupied by livestock grazing is around 36 million
square km, which is equivalent to 26 % of the land surface area of
the planet (Steinfeld et al. 2006). The total area used for
feedcrop production is about 4.7 million square km, equivalent to
33 % of all cropland. Most of this cropland is located in OECD
countries, but some developing countries are rapidly expanding
their feedcrop production, notably maize and soybean in South
America, in particular Brazil. The total remaining area suitable
for rain-fed production is estimated to be about 28 million square
km, of which 45 % is forest area (12.6 million square km)
(Steinfeld et al. 2006). Livestock contribute about 9 % of total
carbon dioxide emissions, 37 % of methane and 65 % of nitrous
oxide. In terms of CO2 equivalents the gaseous emissions from
livestock production amounts to about 18 % of the global warming
effects. This is more than the contribution from the total
transportation sector. Concerning polluting gaseous emissions not
linked to climate change, livestock waste contributes 68 % of total
emissions of ammonia (30 million tons/year) (Steinfeld et al.
2006). About 0.13 million square km of forest is lost per year and
the majority is converted to agricultural land (Steinfeld et al.
2006).
Invitro meat technology:
An environmentally friendly cultured meat technology rests on four
basic premises: (1) the culturing of muscle progenitor cells from farm
animals of choice that are able to proliferate at a high rate, (2) the
application of a growth medium that does not contain animal products,
(3) the efficient differentiation of the progenitor cells into muscle
cells that contain all nutrients present in conventional meat, and (4)
the organisation of the muscle cells into 3-dimensional muscle
structures.
Pre-major substitution, I do not see how animals are saved.
In fact, I think it would take a major exodus of humans from earth or
the creation of wild biospheres or people moving out of rural areas
and into self sufficient cities with high rise farms and meat
factories to allow animal habitats. Thus the human condition must be
vastly altered (and human suffering and lives so greatly disconnected
from the natural environment and thus almost no environmental
footprint then it would enable humans to not need animals for food)
Say 1% reduction (a hugely successful vegan campaign) in demand for
beef. Every cow raised on farms for meat is still slaughtered and
processed. Over a few years 1% less cows raised on ranches, but there
is still the same slaughter ratio.
Substitution will not be advanced in the US with government help but
just as the soy industry and soy burgers etc... were developed as a
substitute to take market share so would meat factories. It would be a
lower cost and possibly healthier alternative, niche market business
plan that eventually would win more market share. I think that taste
and appearance issues can be solved. The product would be far more
natural than a protein bar or shake or many other popular food
products.
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[106]Brazil may have new Sugar loaf oil field may have 33 billion barrels of
oil
[107]Brazil's National Petroleum Agency President Haroldo Lima is
talking about a 33 billion barrel offshore oil find (not Tupi another
find) deep-water exploration area off the coast of Rio de Janeiro.
[108]This find is also called the Cariaco field
According to the [109]ANP director, the field, temporarily named
"Sugar Loaf," in reference to Rio's landmark, would be five times
larger than Tupi, the giant field discovered in November 2007.
Tupi is regarded as the largest oil and gas reserve ever found in
Brazil, bearing an estimated volume of 5-8 billion barrels of light
oil. [110]Tupi could have over ten billion barrels of oil in place.
[111]Petrobras is looking at a 100,000 barrel per day pilot project in
the Tupi for late 2009 or early 2010.
Petrobras' press office has not confirmed the discovery yet, but
informed that the Sugar Loaf field is located in block BMS-9 of the
Santos Basin, west
[112]Petrobras at wikipedia
On January 21, 2008, Petrobras announced the discovery of Jupiter, a
huge oil field which could equal the Tupi oil field. It is located 37
km (23 mi) from Tupi, 5,100 m (16,730 ft) below the Atlantic Ocean,
290 km (180 mi) from Rio de Janeiro
FURTHER READING
[113]A previous article covering all of the large oil projects
expected to produce 100,000 b/d or more in 2008.
Carioca remained hidden from explorers until recently because energy
companies lacked the technology to assess prospects obscured by
undersea salt formations.
``Salt is difficult to see through for a geologist because salt
absorbs seismic energy,'' Gibson said in an interview today. ``Also, a
decade ago the physical technology didn't exist that would even enable
you to drill in water that deep.''
Petrobras recently created a division to coordinate all exploration
projects off the southeast coast, given its potentially large
reserves.
``We haven't seen any discoveries that large in decades because we've
punched enough holes in the Earth that we already know where most of
the big fields are,'' said Gibson, president of Butte, Montana-based
Gibson Consulting.
Carioca is 273 kilometers (170 miles) off the Brazilian coast in water
more than 2,000 meters deep.
[114]The Brazil discoveries could be ten times larger than the USGS
assessment of currently recoverable oil from the Bakken in the USA.
The Brazil finds could be [115]North Sea oil size finds.
[116]Some analysts are speculating that there could be 80 billion
barrels of oil off of Brazils shores.
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145. http://www.feedblitz.com/
Hidden links:
146. http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/64651/2987253/http://bp3.blogger.com/_VyTCyizqrHs/SAUomZhLbhI/AAAAAAAAAbU/Gb-Lb2ELEtM/s1600-h/thinfilmcitydome.JPG
147. http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/64651/2987253/http://bp2.blogger.com/_VyTCyizqrHs/SAUqtJhLbiI/AAAAAAAAAbc/LILmJyLNf7U/s1600-h/nuclearexplosioneffects.JPG
148. http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/64651/2987253/http://bp0.blogger.com/_VyTCyizqrHs/SAU3LphLbjI/AAAAAAAAAbk/3PggD8kTyxY/s1600-h/bolonkin.gif
----- End forwarded message -----
--
Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
______________________________________________________________
ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org
8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE
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