[tt] Next Big Future - 3 new articles
Eugen Leitl
<eugen at leitl.org> on
Sat Apr 5 09:44:29 UTC 2008
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Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2008 03:07:03 -0400
To: eugen <eugen at leitl.org>
Subject: Next Big Future - 3 new articles
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"[2]Next Big Future" - 3 new articles
1. [3]China and Iran are following Mr Miyagi's advice with new
anti-ship missile
2. [4]Summary and Review of ABC : living to 150
3. [5]Carnival of Space Week 48
4. [6]More Recent Articles
5. [7]Search Next Big Future
[8]China and Iran are following Mr Miyagi's advice with new anti-ship
missile
[9]As Mr Miyagi said in Karate Kid.. If do right, no can defence
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[16]The U.S. Navy can't stop China's most sophisticated anti-ship
missile (purchased from Russia) -- and won't even start testing a
defense until 2014. I don't think it is an issue between China and the
USA because I do not believe they will be fighting. More relevant is
if Iran gets the missile. Then it would be important for the USA to
use spies, satellites and other means to find any missiles and destroy
them before putting the navy within range. If Iran got it then it
would change the tactics in any Iran/USA war. A war over Taiwan is not
in the offing as the Taiwan presidential and legislative election has
placed pro-Chinese politicians in Taiwan. They are going to moving to
a common market. If Taiwan and China move to a European Union type
situation then there will not be war.
UPDATE:
It was pointed out to me that the US tactics would not be that greatly
effected.
1) Pound them using air force. Air craft carriers are used because US
does not have enough landbased friends. B52's do most of the damage.
Navy is for precision attacks. In the Iran case, airforce from Iraq,
Afganistan, Dubai, and Suadi would mash them into stone age.
2) Drive army in from a friend. In this case, Iraq and Afganistan. [if
wanting a land assault which the US probably does not except for some
kind of smash and dash]
3) Navy would sit well offshore and cheer them on.
However, the US military pumping up its enemies would get the Admirals
desired project or pet weapon system funded.
The Sizzler starts at subsonic speeds. Within 10 nautical miles of
its target, a rocket-propelled warhead separates and accelerates to
three times the speed of sound, flying no more than 10 meters (33
feet) above sea level. On final approach, the missile 'has the
potential to perform very high defensive maneuvers,' including
sharp-angled dodges, the Office of Naval Intelligence said in a
manual on worldwide maritime threats.
The U.S. Navy, after nearly six years of warnings from Pentagon
testers, still lacks a plan for defending aircraft carriers against
a supersonic Russian-built missile, according to current and former
officials and Defense Department documents.
[17]Air power australia has photos of the Sizzler supersonic missile
[18]Hat tip to Wired defense blog
The missile, known in the West as the ``Sizzler,'' has been deployed
by China and may be purchased by Iran.
The Defense Department's weapons-testing office judges the threat so
serious that its director, Charles McQueary, warned the Pentagon's
chief weapons-buyer in a memo that he would move to stall production
of multibillion-dollar ship and missile programs until the issue was
addressed.
``This is a carrier-destroying weapon,'' said Orville Hanson, who
evaluated weapons systems for 38 years with the Navy. ``That's its
purpose.''
FURTHER READING
[19]China's off the shelf air defense
[20]Sino defence forum discusses the Sizzler missile and the Sunburn
(supersonic all the time)
The Sizzler is smaller in size and lighter. I think the main
difference is that the sunburn travels at supersonic speeds all the
time, therefore requiering a big load of fuel, wich in turn makes
the missile big and heavy. The Sizzler cruises at subsonic speeds
and goes supersonic in terminal phase. But there are different
versions of the "Club" some are "conventional" subsonic CMs over
the entire flight. The Sizzlers range is longer than the Sunburn's.
And I think the Sizzlers also have the capability of
interoperability. Meaning they can exchange info. One "lead"
missiles flies at high altitude searching for targets with it's
radar, while the other missiles of a barrage stay low and recieve
info from the lead-missile.
[21]Sino Defence has info on the missile
[22]For political reasons, China may get small indigenous air craft
carriers around 2013 (not nuclear powered, competitive with non-USA
aircraft carriers other than the expected future French aircraft
carrier
[23]Here is a more complete list of arsenal of China's navy.
[24]3M-54E (SS-N-27) Anti-Ship Cruise Missile
[25]Sunburn 3M-80E (SS-N-22) Ship-to-ship Missile
[26]The purchase of the 3M-54E1 with 300 kilometer (180 mile) range
back in 2005
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[43]Summary and Review of ABC : living to 150
[44]Barbara Walters had a show: Live to 150..Can you do it? It was
light on details and touched a lot of the topics in the longevity
area.
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[51]Alcor, the cryogenics company has their article
[52]ABC has other related articles.
I saw the show. It was a very quick run through of many topics on
aging. Aubrey's section was maybe 2 minutes and half of that was him
riding a bike and paddling on water. His actual speaking points were a
very brief summary of extend life 30 years and then during that time
extend it again by 50 years and so on up to 1000 years. No details or
even mentioning of SENS. Barbara does describe him as a respected
scientist and active and basically a "leader in the field".
They had an extended bit on [53]Advanced Cell Technologies
corporation. A company whose stock has tanked. Because they could show
video of an articifially created rat heart. They interviewed the CSO.
Dr. Robert P. Lanza M.D., 51
Chief Scientific Officer. He predicts hundreds of years of life
extension using organ and cell replacement and rejuvenation.
Calorie restriction segment shows practitioners and how they eat.
And then a lot of the show (almost half) is talking about and showing
how extending life will be good and fulfilling and shows these active
older people enjoying life and how people will have many careers and
maybe many partners and maybe older woman will become lesbians because
they will live so much longer than men. They also mentioned that 30
years was added to life expectancy in the 20th century.
They also talked about gray power and how boomers and others may
retain their positions and power and thus help push the funding and
effort towards life extension forward.
I think the more older reporters and journalists that there are on 60
minutes and ABC and other places then the more there will be favorable
shows of this type.
FURTHER READING
[54]A facebook discussion
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[71]Carnival of Space Week 48
I am stepping in as late last minute host for the Carnival of Space
week 48. Thanks to Fraser Cain of [72]Universe Today for letting me
host. Send your Carnival of space entries for week 49 to
carnivalofspace at gmail dot com.
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We have Mars, Red Dwarfs, Astronomy meetings, 2001, Forbidden Planet,
Dr Who, aliens that could hide their solar system and more.
From [79]Centauri dreams we have [80]Red Dwarfs: Dust, Details and
Habitability
One of three pictures in the red dwarf ariticle.
Here Paul Gilster is looking at a recent paper on dust disks around
red dwarfs, but the broader speculation is really about red dwarfs
themselves and the odds on habitable planets around them. 75 million
in our galaxy if we assume 1 per thousand stars -- and the article
goes on to look at the other assumptions in that statement, and
contrasts red dwarfs to G and K stars.
From Ed Minchau at [81]Space Feeds Every day, Space Feeds shows a
space video of the day; from these Ed chooses a Space Video of the
Week.
This week's video is the [82]classic 1956 science fiction movie
Forbidden Planet.
From [83]Hobby space and [84]Space Transport News is
[85]Surrey's GIOVE-A : a full success
The GIOVE-A satellite, built and launched by Surrey Satellite, is
another example of how an entrepreneurial, innovative, "NewSpace"
style approach can succeed at rapid, low cost development of space
systems.
[86]David Portee at altairvi has a series of blog posts on the 40th
anniversary of the film 2001. The film premiered 40 years ago today in
Washington, DC. David's blog series started on Monday and will
continue through Sunday, April 6, when the trimmed-back version of the
film screened for the first time in NYC. His first post gave the dates
of 2001's press screenings and premieres, and the second considered
the inspiration behind the good ship Discovery. Today's will look at a
Earth-moon transportation proposal described in a paper with the title
"2001: A Space Odyssey Revisited."
There will also be one in which he compare the [87]monolith and the
TARDIS and discuss our perceptions of superraces.
[88]Dynamics of Cats at science blogs has NASA launches USS
enterprise. Note the date of the article.
[89]Martian Chronicles has an update on the [90]Opportunity rover from
Monday's planning session. They are working on driving over close to a
cliff in Victoria Crater called Cape Verde. They posted a
low-resolution "thumbnail mosaic" of Cape Verde
See their links for more pictures.
as well as an image showing where the rover is now.
Another [91]posting after the second rover planning meeting.
[92]Starts with a bang has a little game called "Mars or Arizona?" He
shows you pictures and you have to guess whether it's a picture of
Mars or a picture of Arizona. So far the highest score is 10/13.
From [93]Cumbrian Sky we have [94]what will Phoenix see [on Mars] when
she opens her eyes?
Pamela Gay at [95]Star Stryder
has [96]IYA taking shape
Summary: IYA is taking shape - People and tools are all slowly
emerging to make 2009 a year of great astronomical promise
Ian O'neill at [97]Astroengine has a brief story about the recent
sunspot activity and cycle overlap.
[98]Orbiting frog is submiting the entire National Astronomy meeting
blog They are covering the [99]UK National Astronomy meeting which is
on this week and since its a one-week thing. They are covering press
releases from the UK and talks/poster sessions.
[100]Astroprof's Page has [101]Too Much Radiation?
Summary: About radiation exposure to astronauts on long duration space
missions.
[102]A Babe in the Universe has [103]Eruptions. Halma'uma'u crater on
Hawaii's Big Island is erupting and simultaneously our Cassini
spacecraft has found organic molicules erupting from Saturn's moon
Enceladus
Earth and a distant moon share the phenomenon of internal heat
sculpting their surfaces. Study of worlds like Enceladus offers clues
to our own planet
My own Next Big Future entry [104]Fermi Paradox, metamaterials and
alien civilizations that are not distinguishable from dark matter.
Summary: Recently developed metamaterials are being developed to make
objects that they surround invisible to microwaves and some optical
wavelengths. They can also make things invisible to magnetic fields
and sound and other waves. The Fermi paradox is based on assumptions
about what aliens with advanced technology would or would not do and
that the works of very advanced aliens should be visible to humans or
that they or their robots should be greeting us like the galactic
welcome wagon. Advanced aliens if they could build massive Dyson
spheres could also make those things fade into the interstellar
background. Plus we need to be humble and realistic in our assessment
of how hard we have looked at the universe for life. This year we are
finding that the Milky way is twice as thick as we thought (12000
light years not 6000) and last year the Andremeda Galaxy is five times
bigger than we thought. These kinds of errors should tell us how
clueless we are judging whether looking at some pinpoints of light
tells us about whether there is or is not advanced life.
UPDATE: [105]Centauri Dreams has an excellent follow up to my article
on what aliens might do with Dyson spheres and current efforts to look
for Dyson sphere building aliens.
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----- End forwarded message -----
--
Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
______________________________________________________________
ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org
8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE
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