[tt] Microsoft's report on human-computer interface in 2020

[Hughes, James J.]

http://research.microsoft.com/hci2020/downloads/BeingHuman_A3.pdf

BEING HUMAN 
HUMAN-COMPUTER INTERACTION IN THE YEAR 2020

Editors: Richard Harper, Tom Rodden, Yvonne Rogers and Abigail Sellen

ISBN: 978-0-9554761-1-2

Publisher: Microsoft Research Ltd

Contents

1 Our Changing World 12

1.1 Changing Computers 14
GUIs to Gestures 16 
VDUs to Smart Fabrics 18 
Handsets to the World in our Hands 19
Simple Robots to Autonomous Machines That Learn 20 
Hard Disks to Digital Footprints 21
Shrink-Wrapped to Mash-Ups 23 
Answer-Phones to Always-On 24

1.2 Changing Lives 25
Learning Differently 25 
New Ways of Family Living 26 New Ways of Growing Older 28

1.3 Changing Societies 29

2 Transformations in Interaction 32

2.1 Human Values in the Face of Change 34

2.2 The End of Interface Stability 36
The shifting boundary between computers and humans 36 
The shifting boundary between computers
and the everyday world 38 
Living in a computational ecosystem 39

2.3 The Growth of Techno-Dependency 40
Living in an increasingly technology-reliant world 40 
Living with increasingly clever computers 42

2.4 The Growth of Hyper-Connectivity 43
Living in a more socially connected world 43 
Being part of a digital crowd 45

2.5 The End of the Ephemeral 46
Managing expanding digital footprints 46 
Living in an increasingly monitored world 47

2.6 The Growth of Creative Engagement 48
Augmenting human reasoning 48 
New forms of creative engagement 50
Summary 51

3 HCI: Looking Forward 52

3.1 The Way Forward 54