[tt] advanced nanotechnology - 2 new articles
Eugen Leitl
<eugen at leitl.org> on
Sat Nov 3 08:41:58 UTC 2007
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Date: Sat, 03 Nov 2007 03:40:22 -0400
To: eugen <eugen at leitl.org>
Subject: advanced nanotechnology - 2 new articles
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"[2]advanced nanotechnology" - 2 new articles
1. [3]Climate change bill has passed a senate panel
2. [4]Transitioning from oil
3. [5]More Recent Articles
4. [6]Search advanced nanotechnology
[7]Climate change bill has passed a senate panel
UPDATE CORRECTION: Thanks to reader Kurt9, who pointed out that I had
been too hasty in reading the Forbes article. It has only passed a
panel and not been passed in the Senate. [8]Current handicapping is
that it will not get 60 votes in the Senate
[9]The UK Guardian has their take on it
[10]The Lieberman/Warner climate change bill passed a senate panel
today. This is the one which if passed could triple nuclear and
renewables by 2030. This is good and hopefully it can pass the larger
senate and house. Bush might not veto it because it has business
support.
[11]Here is my past coverage on the bill
[1444032176_62b8c4c0f4_o.jpg]
[12]My coverage of the similar Lieberman/McCain climate bill which had
EIA analysis
[1252859644_da56cae74f_o.jpg]
The climate change will massively boost nuclear and renewables and
reduce coal usage
[13][advancednano?i=fIj70hB] [14][advancednano?i=W7ESQtB]
[15][advancednano?i=nL8BNob] [16][advancednano?i=fmhcDNb]
[17][advancednano?i=q7exvLb] [18][advancednano?i=hAsCyuB]
[19][advancednano?i=zPN86qb] [20][advancednano?i=XYnzyPB]
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[26]Transitioning from oil
What if we had to transition from oil in a hurry ? The goal would be
to get to electrified transportion, some biofuels, and an energy
efficient economy.
So the transition is conservation, drill in ANWR and elsewhere, more
oil from the oilsands and shale, temporarily ramp up biofuels and
alternatives, ramp up nuclear and wind and solar, convert to more
efficient cars, trucks, rail, planes, ships and industry and shift
from liquids to electrification. Shift more freight from trucks to
barges and rail.
Conservation measures can be initiated and strengthened when
necessary.
55mph speed limit saved (380000 gallons per day back in the 1970s in
the USA)
[chart8.gif]
Increased fuel use for transporation (around double the 1970s usage)
Fuel saving of 750,000 gallons per day from 55 mph speed limit in the
USA
[27]Delaware has emergency fuel shortage measures
[figure4.6.gif]
Carpooling, transit, odd-even and other measures can reduce fuel usage
by 8-15% right away and several can be sustained without harming the
economy. A mid-term transition would be to require and setup satellite
offices and wifi buses and trains (so that people could be productive
while travelling on transit)
[28]Florida has general energy saving tips
If peak oil hit, ANWR would be drilled. Which is basically an
emergency fuel reserve of perhaps 10.3 billion barrels *(mean
estimate). It would take a few years to being online and would supply
about 1.4 million barrels per day.
More Nuclear power plants are being licensed now in the USA and around
the world. The past peak was 12 reactors completed in one year in the
USA. The US economy is over twice as large now. Full (non-emergency
production of nuclear plants in the USA would be twenty-four 1.5 GW
reactors completed per year and could be at that level by 2020.
Business as usual production could be far higher if a climate change
bill is passed which would make coal more expensive. [29]There has
already been the legislation in place to ensure that about 32 new
nuclear reactors will be built by 2024
[1252859644_da56cae74f_o.jpg]
EIA projection based on climate change bill passage
[30]Diesel and truck engine efficiency work is well under way. Which
could double diesel and truck efficiency over the 2010-2020 rollout
period.
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/resources/proceedings/200
7_deer_presentations.html
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/resources/proceedings/200
6_deer_presentations.html
http://www.theautochannel.com/news/2005/08/31/141727.html
Electrification of vehicles
[31]There are 60 million electric scooters and bicycles in China
already. By 2015 there could be 500 million in China. This would be
the faster and easier route for the rest of the world as well. The
vehicles can go at 55 mph (72 volt versions). There can be GPS
enforcement of 55mph limits. Folding electric bikes are compatible
with transit. Major transition conversion possible if needed by 2015.
[32]Alternative fuels will help as well
In the US biodiesel : Total biodiesel production shot up from 25
million gallons in 2004 to 250 million gallons last year. Worldwide
biofuel is at 51 billion liters (about 13 billion gallons) in 2007.
USA production projection of 2.5 to 3.5 billion gallons by 2010. 7.5
billion gallons of biofuels per year by 2012
http://money.cnn.com/2007/09/25/technology/biodieselboom.biz2/
[33]Thermoelectronics will start to be significantly rolled out by
2010
[1486230210_a09049fc68_o.jpg]
[34]Superconducting motors in 2010 for industrial efficiency
[35]Superconducting power grids would save up to 5% of the electricity
in the USA. There is about 8% lost to power transmission.
If it was required a draconian conservation scheme could be instituted
for 5 years to reduce fuel usage by 50% or more (WW2 style
conservation, rationing) and then a mobilized effort to convert to
electrification. After which the economy would be completely
sustainable and able to grow again.
[36][advancednano?i=odax2BB] [37][advancednano?i=A40e4hB]
[38][advancednano?i=DVCBspb] [39][advancednano?i=fXn3qOb]
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More Recent Articles
* [49]High endurance and enhanced longevity mouse created
* [50]Scanning tunneling microscope made 100 to 1000 times faster
* [51]Superlative forecasters exist and being a scout of good
forecasters
* [52]90% future prediction accuracy for Game theory model
* [53]Infrared light used as better optical tweezers on silicon
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References
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Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
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